Forensic Companion

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb · 2007

BS 1.5 / 10

Forensically audited, every claim receipt-checked.

43 holds20 needs context2 contested

The audit, chapter by chapter

Ch 1: The Empirical Skeptic and the Black Swan Concept · 8 claims checked

Ch 2: Mediocristan, Extremistan, and the Turkey Problem · 8 claims checked

Ch 3: Confirmation Bias and the Narrative Fallacy · member · 8 claims checked

Ch 4: Silent Evidence and Survivorship Bias · member · 8 claims checked

Ch 5: The Ludic Fallacy and the Scandal of Prediction · member · 8 claims checked

Ch 6: Epistemocracy and Acting Under Uncertainty · member · 8 claims checked

Ch 7: The Bell Curve Fraud and Gaussian Critique · member · 8 claims checked

Ch 8: Mandelbrot, Fat Tails, and the LTCM Collapse · member · 9 claims checked

Rights

Published as fair dealing commentary — AU Copyright Act s41 fair dealing: criticism or review. Commentary-dominant; quote budget enforced.