Outliers: The Story of Success · chapter 5 · id outliers-c5-06-us-birth-rates-dropped-signifi
“US birth rates dropped significantly during the Great Depression -- from approximately 21.3 births per 1,000 population in 1930 to 18.4 per 1,000 in 1933 -- creating smaller cohorts that faced less competition for education and employment in the 1950s-60s.”
holdsconfidence: high⚠ extracted by pipeline, re-audit pending
Receipts
Fertility in the Time of Depression, Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge Coresource alive
US fertility fell sharply during the Great Depression, with the crude birth rate declining from approximately 21 per 1,000 in 1930 to below 19 per 1,000 by 1933.
US Bureau of the Census, Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970source alive
US crude birth rate fell from 21.3 per thousand in 1930 to 18.4 in 1933 (a decline of ~14%), resulting in smaller cohorts that later faced less labor-market competition.
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