Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts · chapter 6 · id thinking-in-bets-c6-03-night-jerry--morning-jerry-pro
“Night Jerry / Morning Jerry problem: our present and future selves have different preferences, and good decision-making requires accounting for this temporal self-discontinuity.”
holdsconfidence: high⚠ extracted by pipeline, re-audit pending
Receipts
Hershfield (2011), 'Future self-continuity: how conceptions of the future self transform intertemporal choice,' Annals of the New York Academy of SciencesDOI registry: valid
People who feel greater continuity with their future selves save more for retirement, exercise more, and make healthier dietary choices. Feeling disconnected from one's future self leads to temporal discounting -- treating future consequences as if they belong to a stranger.
McClure et al. (2004), 'Separate Neural Systems Value Immediate and Delayed Monetary Rewards,' ScienceDOI registry: valid
fMRI studies showed that decisions involving immediate rewards activated limbic brain areas (associated with emotion), while decisions involving delayed rewards activated prefrontal cortex (associated with deliberation). Two neural systems compete in intertemporal choice.
This claim is a stable, citable object. If you can falsify a verdict, tell us — corrections are loud here.