The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable · chapter 1 · id the-black-swan-c1-08-talebs-grandfather-fouad-nicol
“Taleb's grandfather Fouad Nicolas Ghosn served as deputy prime minister of Lebanon, giving the family direct political access, yet this insider position provided no forecasting advantage during the civil war.”
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Wikipedia: Nassim Nicholas Talebsource alive
His maternal grandfather Fouad Nicolas Ghosn and great-grandfather Nicolas Ghosn were both deputy prime ministers of Lebanon.
Arab America: Pathbreakers -- Nassim Nicholas Talebsource alive
Born into a Greek Orthodox family in Amioun, Lebanon, Taleb's family had a distinguished political history. The civil war beginning in 1975 forced the family into hiding and reduced their political prominence.
Shortform: Origins of Taleb's Black Swan Obsessionsource alive
Taleb later described how the adults around him -- including his politically connected grandfather -- were consistently wrong in their predictions about the war, and always able to explain events after the fact.
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